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We’re only a day away from the running of the $3,000,000 Pegasus World Cup Invitational at Gulfstream Park. Gulfstream Park runs their hallmark event of the year, along with the $1,000,000 race on the turf in Hallandale Beach tomorrow. TheSportsGeek will have the Pegasus covered on Saturday, so check back for that tomorrow morning. There is still a lot of racing to attack on the racetrack Friday. BetOnline has a mammoth slate on the calendar on Friday, with a total of 13 thoroughbred tracks in the US offered for wagering. There is a lot of prize money available out there, but only one notable stakes event to speak of. The $150,000 Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park is the marquee race on Friday.
We will get the day started at Oaklawn Park, which is opening its winter meet with a nine-race $532,000 card, headlined by the $150,000 Smarty Jones Stakes. Head below for our free Oaklawn Park picks for January 22, 2021.
Race 6
Post Time: 3:07 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$82,000
Race 6 is a mile event on the main track for a $82,000 purse. Saffa’s Day and Saqeel are on my shortlist and should be closely watched in the stretch. Saqeel will have to battle hard from the outside, but likely is going to have a say against this field.
He has finished 4th, 5th, 2nd in his career, with a couple of decent efforts and a bold run up to place 2nd in his most recent showing on November 28. Saqeel placed 2nd behind Leblon by a neck for a $85,000 purse. That was a nice improvement from Saqeel after finishing 5th in a similar class.
If Saqeel can continue to show improvement, then a trip to the winner’s circle is not out of the equation on Friday. He will have to contend with Saffa’s Day who is seeing a drop in class today. Saffa’s Day is coming off two stakes appearances in the $125,000 Nyquist Stakes on November 6, and $200,000 Remington Springboard Mile Stakes on December 18.
Saffa’s Day finished 6th and then 4th most recently at Remington Park. I thought it was a good performance for Saffa’s Day against that level of competition. It was a tough field, but Saffa’s Day was able to beat six horses for a pretty good day. Down in class on Friday, expect a better finish for Saffa’s Day with a good chance of going to the winner’s circle.
Race 7
Post Time: 3:38 p.m. CST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$88,000
Race 7 is a $88,000 event on the dirt covering 6 furlongs. Rubus and Engage are going to be hot contenders for the top prize in this one. Rubus has been a consistent runner recently. He has been in the top-3 in five straight outings since July. That included a win on September 3 in a $62,500 allowance optional claiming event over Explorer by 2 lengths.
Since that outing, Rubus showed 3rd on October 9 and November 26. He was at Churchill Downs for his most recent entry and struck for 3rd in a $92,000 contest. That kind of form sets Rubus up for a bold run on Friday. He’s likely going to be close at the wire. Engage is 5 for 15 and has experience in much tougher events than what he’ll face on Friday.
Engage has finished 1st, 1st, 4th, 5th, 5th in his most recent five races. He won on October 4, 2019, four races ago in the $250,000 Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes (Gr. 2) over Whitmore by a half length. In his most recent showing, Engage finished 5th in the $150,000 Lafayette Stakes on November 7. He was 2nd going into the stretch, but weakened and flattened out. I don’t see that being a problem at 6 furlongs against this competition.
Race 8 – Smarty Jones Stakes
Post Time: 4:11 p.m. CST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$150,000
The $150,000 Smarty Jones Stakes is the feature event on Friday at Oaklawn Park and in the US. This mile event on the dirt is scheduled to include seven runners for a $150,000 prize. Caddo River and Cowan should be the horses to watch in this contest.
Caddo River has finished in the top-2 in three career races. After placing 2nd behind Speaker’s Corner by ¾ lengths in a $63,000 assignment, Caddo River beat Alejandro by 9 ½ lengths in a blowout. He was already clear of the field before entering the stretch in an impressive display.
Since that performance on November 16, Caddo River has looked good in morning workouts in January. He completed 4 furlongs in 48 seconds, 6 furlongs in 1:13.80, and most recently 5 furlongs in 1:00.40. That said, this will be a tougher race than he’s experienced. Cowan will likely be a worthy challenger.
Cowan has finished in the top-2 in three straight assignments, and top-3 in 5 of 6 career outings. Cowan placed 2nd in more difficult races than this outing on Friday. He placed 2nd behind Golden Pal by ¾ lengths in the $1,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Stakes (Gr. 2) on November 6.
He returned on December 18 to place 2nd behind Senor Buscador by 5 ¾ lengths in the $250,000 Remington Springboard Mile Stakes. This might be a tough race for most horses in this race, but the Smarty Jones Stakes represents a significant class drop for Cowan. Expect a win for Cowan.
Saturday is all about Gulfstream Park and Oaklawn Park. The two most important races on the calendar are at Gulfstream and Oaklawn. At Gulfstream Park, we have the biggest prep race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby this weekend in the Fountain of Youth Stakes. Then in Arkansas at Oaklawn, the Southwest Stakes (Gr. 3) is offering 10 points for a win.
While there aren’t as many points available in this event, the prize money towers over the Fountain of Youth. The Southwest Stakes (Gr. 3) is offering $750,000 compared to $300,000 for the Fountain of Youth Stakes. Along with the Southwest, we have the $600,000 Razorback Handicap (Gr. 3) at Oaklawn on Saturday.
Oaklawn Park has 11 races expected to be run in Hot Springs on Saturday. There is a total of $1,967,000 in prize money available to edge out Gulfstream Park as the feature track of the weekend in the US. Head below for our free Oaklawn Park selections and Southwest Stakes pick for February 27, 2021.
Race 5
Post Time: 2:15 a.m. CST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$27,500
In our first pick at Oaklawn Park, we’ll make a stop at Race 5 for a $27,500 event covering 6 furlongs on the main track. Davidic Line and General Trev are two competitors that should be held in high regard for this assignment. Davidic Line is a winner in one out of 14 races in his career. He has finished 2nd, 5th, 6th, 4th, 2nd in his previous five trips, so okay, but inconsistent recently.
His most recent entry was a solid effort, placing 2nd behind Sharecropper by 8 lengths in a $32,000 event. Davidic Line will move down in class for this outing on Saturday. The drop in competition should put Davidic Line somewhere in the mix during the stretch run. His biggest opponent in this race has to be General Trev.
General Trev is forecast to have a big career. After two outings, General Trev looked like a horse going places in his career. The gelding has finished 1st and 2nd in two appearances on February 29, 2020 and April 4, 2020. As a rookie, General Trev was a winner over Hunt the Floor by 1 ¾ lengths in a $87,000 assignment.
He was unable to repeat in the spring, but still ran a big race to place 2nd behind Finnick the Fierce in a $61,000 race. General Trev is coming off a layoff, but his work in the morning has been encouraging. If he runs anything like he was before the break, then General Trev should clear this competition relatively easily.
Race 8 – Spring Fever Stakes
Post Time: 3:52 p.m. CST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$200,000
The $200,000 Spring Fever Stakes is one of three stakes races at Oaklawn on Saturday. This 5 ½ furlong race will take place on the dirt. Amy’s Challenge and Kimari likely battle in the stretch for the win in Race 8. Amy’s Challenge is 8 for 20 in her career, and has finished top-2 in five of his previous seven outings.
She finished 1st and 2nd in her previous two outings, both stakes races. Amy’s Challenge beat Unique Factor by 2 ¼ lengths in the $150,000 McConnell Springs Stakes by 2 ¼ lengths. She was able to come back for another bold performance on January 30 to place 2nd.
Amy’s Challenge was short by 1 ¼ lengths behind Frank’s Rockette in that assignment, the $150,000 American Beauty Stakes. Frank’s Rockette is a really talented horse, and was expected to be too tough for the field going into that race. A loss for Amy’s Challenge there wasn’t surprising.
Kimari from the outside should prove to be a horse to watch closely. She is a four-time winner across eight races in her career. In the biggest assignment of her career, Kimari held up well in the $1,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Gr. 2) to finish 4th against a tough field in 2019.
Since that performance, Kimari has finished 1st, 2nd, 3rd. She won the $100,000 Purple Martin Stakes by 1 ¾ lengths over Frank’s Rockette on April 4, 2020. At Ascot over the pond, Kimari ran well in the Commonwealth Cup (Gr. 1) to place 2nd.
She has been on a bit of a layoff since showing 3rd on September 15 at Kentucky Downs in the $400,000 Music City Stakes. It wasn’t a bad effort to show 3rd, but more is expected from Kimari. She has been incredibly quick in workouts leading up to Saturday. Kimari was timed at 59.55 and 57.35 seconds at 5 furlongs. That form suggests a superior run for Kimari on Saturday.
Race 10 – Southwest Stakes
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Post Time: 4:58 p.m. CST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Purse:$750,000
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Race 10 is the $750,000 Southwest Stakes, the biggest race in the world on Saturday. This is going to be a highly entertaining race between two horses regarded as potential winners of the Kentucky Derby in May. It’s going to make for a must-watch duel between Jackie’s Warrior and Essential Quality. Jackie’s Warrior has the talent to win this race and beyond. He is a four-time winner in five races.
His win streak ended at four races, which included wins in the $150,000 Saratoga Special (Gr. 2) on August 7, $250,000 Runhappy Hopeful Stakes (Gr. 1), and $250,000 Champagne Stakes (Gr. 1). His win streak was disrupted on November 6 in the $2,000,000 TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Gr. 1). Despite the loss, expect Jackie’s Warrior to have his say with a chance to bounce back against Essential Quality.
Essential Quality won by ¾ lengths ahead of Hot Rod Charlie, and comfortably ahead of Jackie’s Warrior by around 3 lengths. He went off with excellent kick in the final furlong, while Jackie’s Warrior weakened and gave way at the same time. Joel Rosario ran an excellent race aboard Essential Quality.
He is a perfect three for three in his career, which also includes a win in the $400,000 Breeders’ Futurity (Gr. 1) by 3 ¼ lengths on October 3. It would not be surprising to see an all out duel between Jackie’s Warrior and Essential Quality. Highly entertaining race that sets up plenty of Kentucky Derby hype. Look out for Essential Quality late at the wire